energy use. now, the u.s. has now predicted the international energy agency predicts the u.s. will be the number one producer of oil by 2020. it will also be probably close to the top of producers of natural gas. this will give us the wealth and income michael lind mentioned 1.5% of gdp. we need over the next what is it, 15 or 20 years to make up the shortfall in social security and 45% in medicare. well, the explosion moving from an energy deficit to an energy surplus will more than half close that gdp gap. so, we have an economic conditions that suggests that the challenges we face are the exact opposite of what the bowles-simpson grand bargain would impose on us as a growth strategy. the conditions that we're going to face over the next five to eight years, with some in the ration if we do the right things, are an ongoing shortfall both domestic and global demand, excess capital and labor, and excess capacity and many major industries overcapacity in many sectors of the world economy. a distributed and any party challenges caused i ongoing automation. in those circumstances